RGCI n711 - A systematic review of mangrove resilience to climate variability

Revista de Gestão Costeira Integrada
Volume 25, Issue 2, December 2025, Pages #-#

DOI: 10.5894/rgci-n711
* Submission: 3 SEP 2025; Peer review: 27 SEP 2025; Revised: 19 MAY 2026; Accepted: 21 MAY 2026; Available on-line: 26 MAY 2026

A systematic review of mangrove resilience to climate variability

Anies Ma’rufatin^{@ 1}, Novian Andri Akhirianto¹, Khusnul Setia Wardani¹, Amalia Nurwijayanti¹, Farikhotul Chusnayah¹, Favian Mafazi Giska Putra¹

^@ Corresponding author: anies.marufatin@brin.go.id

¹ Research Center for Hydrodynamics Technology, National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN), KST BJ. Habibie Serpong, Tangerang Selatan, Banten 15314, Indonesia.

ABSTRACT

This systematic literature review synthesizes recent research on the resilience of mangroves in response to climate variability. Mangroves play a crucial role in coastal protection, carbon sequestration, and biodiversity conservation. However, climate variability, including extreme weather events, sea level rise, and changing precipitation patterns, poses significant challenges to mangrove ecosystems. Using Covidence for article selection and analysis, this study investigates the relationship between climate variability and mangrove resilience. This study employed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines to ensure methodological accuracy and transparency. A search of the Scopus database (2014–2024) identified n = 223 records, which after screening and eligibility assessment, resulted in n = 44 studies included in the final synthesis. The review identified sea level rise, extreme weather events, and altered sediment dynamics as the primary climate-related stressors affecting mangrove resilience, while vegetation structure, species composition, and recovery capacity emerged as the most frequently used resilience indicators. This review concludes that strengthening mangrove resilience requires integrated socio-ecological strategies that combine ecological processes with adaptive governance, sediment management, and community-based adaptation. Addressing research gaps through geographically and interdisciplinary approaches will be crucial for enhancing the role of mangroves in climate adaptation and sustainable coastal management. The findings underscore the importance of mangroves in relation to the global Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly SDGs 13 (Climate Action), 14 (Life Below Water), and 15 (Life on Land).

Keywords: Mangrove resilience, climate variability, coastal ecosystems, socio-ecological adaptation, systematic review

RESUMO

Esta revisão sistemática da literatura sintetiza pesquisas recentes sobre a resiliência dos manguezais em resposta à variabilidade climática. Os manguezais desempenham um papel crucial na proteção costeira, no sequestro de carbono e na conservação da biodiversidade. No entanto, a variabilidade climática, incluindo eventos climáticos extremos, elevação do nível do mar e mudanças nos padrões de precipitação, impõe desafios significativos aos ecossistemas de manguezais. Utilizando o Covidence para a seleção e análise dos artigos, este estudo investiga a relação entre variabilidade climática e resiliência dos manguezais. O estudo empregou as diretrizes Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) para garantir rigor metodológico e transparência. A busca na base de dados Scopus (2014–2024) identificou n = 223 registros, dos quais, após as etapas de triagem e avaliação de elegibilidade, resultaram em n = 44 estudos incluídos na síntese final. A revisão identificou a elevação do nível do mar, os eventos climáticos extremos e a alteração da dinâmica sedimentar como os principais fatores de estresse relacionados ao clima que afetam a resiliência dos manguezais, enquanto a estrutura da vegetação, a composição de espécies e a capacidade de recuperação emergiram como os indicadores de resiliência mais frequentemente utilizados. Esta revisão conclui que o fortalecimento da resiliência dos manguezais requer estratégias socioecológicas integradas que combinem processos ecológicos com governança adaptativa, manejo sedimentar e adaptação baseada na comunidade. A superação das lacunas de pesquisa por meio de abordagens geográficas e interdisciplinares será crucial para ampliar o papel dos manguezais na adaptação climática e na gestão costeira sustentável. Os resultados destacam a importância dos manguezais em relação aos Objetivos de Desenvolvimento Sustentável (ODS) globais, particularmente os ODS 13 (Ação Climática), 14 (Vida na Água) e 15 (Vida Terrestre).

Palavras-chave: Resiliência de manguezais, variabilidade climática, ecossistemas costeiros, adaptação socioecológica, revisão sistemática.

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Volume 25, Issue 2 - December 2025

A systematic review of mangrove resilience to climate variability

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